COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score

COVID-GRAM critical-illness risk (Liang 2020): a published logistic model from X-ray abnormality, age, hemoptysis, dyspnea, unconsciousness, comorbidity count, cancer, NLR, LDH, and direct bilirubin.

Open the calculator → Runs in your browser. Data leaves only if you deliberately send a problem report from the interactive tool.

Example

Chest X-ray abnormality
No
Age
50
Hemoptysis
No
Dyspnea
No
Unconsciousness
No
Number of comorbidities
0
History of cancer
No
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
3
LDH
300
Direct bilirubin
5

Result: COVID-GRAM estimated probability of critical illness ~1.9% (published logistic model; betas derived as ln of the reported odds ratios, intercept from the paper's rounded constant -- treat the absolute value as approximate). The authors define no low/medium/high cut-points.

The tool opens with these values already filled in. Replace them with your own.

What the result means

Probability
Higher predicted probability indicates greater critical-illness risk; the authors deliberately defined no risk-tier cut-points.

What you enter

  • Chest X-ray abnormality
  • Age (years)
  • Hemoptysis
  • Dyspnea
  • Unconsciousness
  • Number of comorbidities
  • History of cancer
  • Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio
  • LDH (U/L)
  • Direct bilirubin (µmol/L)
How this is calculated

Liang W, Liang H, Ou L, et al. Development and validation of a clinical risk score to predict the occurrence of critical illness in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. JAMA Intern Med. 2020;180(8):1081-1089. Betas = ln of the published odds ratios. Read the source ↗

A reference and educational tool. Not medical, legal, or financial advice, and not a substitute for clinician judgment.

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Built by Clay Good. Source on GitHub.