SORT (Surgical Outcome Risk Tool, 30-day Mortality)

Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (Protopapa 2014): ASA class, urgency, age, high-risk specialty, major/complex surgery, and cancer give an estimated 30-day postoperative mortality.

Open the calculator → Runs in your browser. Data leaves only if you deliberately send a problem report from the interactive tool.

Example

ASA physical status
III (+1.411)
Urgency
Urgent (+1.657)
Age
70 years
High-risk surgical specialty
Yes
Major or complex (xmajor) surgery
Yes
Cancer
Yes

Result: SORT 14.67% — estimated 30-day postoperative mortality.

The tool opens with these values already filled in. Replace them with your own.

What the result means

Output
Predicted 30-day mortality = 1/(1+e^−logit). A preoperative estimate from routinely available variables; decision support, not a surgical order.

What you enter

  • ASA physical status
  • Urgency
  • Age
  • High-risk surgical specialty
  • Major or complex (xmajor) surgery
  • Cancer
How this is calculated
Model
logit = −7.366 + ASA III/IV/V (1.411/2.388/4.081) + urgency expedited/urgent/immediate (1.236/1.657/2.452) + high-risk 0.712 + major/complex 0.381 + cancer 0.667 + age 65–79/≥80 (0.777/1.591).

Protopapa KL, Simpson JC, Smith NCE, Moonesinghe SR. Development and validation of the Surgical Outcome Risk Tool (SORT). Br J Surg. 2014;101(13):1774-1783. Read the source ↗

A reference and educational tool. Not medical, legal, or financial advice, and not a substitute for clinician judgment.

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Built by Clay Good. Source on GitHub.